Not many readers will likely remember, but this is actually the second post I've done on this topic. See here for the first.
1. Jacks are more likely to flop a set than any other pocket pair.
2. There is an inverse relationship between how good a parking spot one finds in the casino's parking garage and how successful the poker session will be. (Note: You cannot take advantage of this fact and manipulate it to success by intentionally parking far from the entrance. Sorry.)
3. Black aces are more powerful than red ones.
4. Even if a particular card room is traditionally a successful one for you, it will cease to be so if you visit it too many times in a row. After two good sessions in a row at one place, you must next play at a different room, or you will score an L. You can have infinitely many winning sessions in a row, as long as no more than two of them consecutively are in the same poker room. It is not possible to have three winning sessions in a row if all of them are in the same room.
Frankly, I don't understand why poker strategy books do not teach these simple facts.
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
More things I know are true (but would have a hard time proving)
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10 comments:
4 things? You've extrapolated on the 2-4 thingy and it has become a slippery slope of superstition. Too much NPR. ;-)
Oops! Thanks. I have deleted the number from the title.
I am with you on the pocket jacks thing. I think I flop a set with jacks at least 2/3 of the time. (And my last high hand jackpot was quad jacks at Mandalay - flopped set, turned quads.) My big losing hand at MGM the Saturday before last . . . getting a guy to commit all of his chips on a T-high board - I had QQ to his JJ. Jack on the river.
I won all 13 sessions at Southpoint in December.
You are wrong about pocket jacks flopping more sets than any other pocket pair. In fact, pocket deuces are most likely to flop a set, particularly when up against a big pocket pair or when the board flops a pair (e.g., 9-9-2). Trust me on this.
Pocket jacks, however, are most likely to be involved in an expensive set over set situation--like happened to me for a $2,000+ pot last weekend when my pocket jacks ran into pocket queens on a Q-J-9 board. Just more fun with jacks.
You are so right about Jacks. Geesh. Doesn't make much mathematical sense, but it happens so often.
The inverse relationship between parking and session results is so good!
A lot of these are dead on.
I always raise red aces but often limp with black aces because they hold up better in a large multiway pot.
I know this is supposed to be superstitious, obviously nonsense claims, but you may be right about jacks--
It's not that the third jack comes out more often than the third deuce or ace, but in my experience JJ sees more flops than any other pair. Low pairs are easily dropped, and high pairs are more often bet hard and won before the flop, but JJ seems to make aggressive players less willing to raise and tight players more willing to call.
Following on from Parker
2. More tourists at the casino means less carparks?
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