PLO is TOTALLY rigged!

I'm watching the Aussie Millions Cash Game Invitational while I eat lunch. This rather remarkable pot-limit Omaha hand was featured.

Andrew Robl and Patrik Antonius get it all in on the flop. As you can see, Robl is a huge underdog to Antonius's monster draw.



They agree to run the turn and river four times, each being worth one quarter of the pot.

#1:



Antonius fails to catch any of the, oh, 87 or so cards that could come to make his straight or flush, so Robl's unimproved aces take it.

#2:



Antonius makes a flush on the turn, but Robl catches one of his five outs to make a full house on the river.

#3:



Antonius again misses all of his draws, and Robl get an unneeded straight just to rub it in.

#4:



Antonius makes the nut straight on the turn, but Robl hits a runner-runner spade flush!

One of the two men is happy about this outcome:




The combined probability of winning four out of four times when starting with a hand that has only a 27% chance of coming out ahead is about 0.5%. Are we supposed to believe that this happened just by random variance?

It's rigged, I tell you, RIGGED!

Poker gems, #58

Gabe Kaplan, on GSN's "High Stakes Poker," December 17, 2007.

Do you think Patrick Antonius ever has a bad hair day?

Poker gems, #54

Gabe Kaplan, on GSN's "High Stakes Poker," commenting on Patrick Antonius's open shirt: "Well, when you play good poker, you gotta show a little cleavage."