I finally decided to call. I can't give you even a lick of math to justify it, but my sense was that the number of ways I could be ahead, the number of ways I could catch up if I were behind, and the size of the pot made it worth the further investment.
Our hole cards were revealed, and he had almost the worst possible cards: J-10. (The worst would have been 9-9, which would leave me with 8 cards for a chop, just 1 for the win.) So he had, in fact, done what I had quickly concluded he almost surely had not done--paid $25 for just a gutshot straight draw. Of course, they were soooooted, which explains his pre-flop call.
The odds were, obviously, not in my favor at this point. The Poker Pro table stats showed him at 77% to win, me only 23%.
But once in a while, the good guys win in spite of blundering. A beautiful, beautiful 6 hit the river, giving me a full house and my biggest pot of the night--about $375.
Tuesday, February 04, 2014
Superb Owl poker (conclusion)
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5 comments:
See, I was right in my analysis. Sure, I was completely wrong about his hand. But I was completely right that you could call and win. Since you called and won, I was correct.
Easy game.
Congrats on the nice suckout! I think it was a good call even if it didn't turn out so well, he could have had many hands you were ahead of.
You mention your hole cards being "revealed." Is this an automatic thing with the Poker Pro tables, that they expose cards when everyone's all in, whether the players want that or not? Obviously it would be that way if it was dealing a tournament, but is set that way for cash games as well?
Or do players have the option? I would think that a fair amount of players would not like be forced to show unless they absolutely have to in order to claim the pot.
It's set that way automatically when both are all in, no player option.
and it should be set that way--eliminates anyone being made to feel bad for asking to see the hands.
Yay! I was right. (It doesn't happen often, so allow me to revel in it.)
I have a buddy I play with all the time at my local casino who has a rule to live by. In low stakes no limit hold 'em, always assume somebody is playing Jack-Ten. They seem to think that hand has magical powers.
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