Monday, January 25, 2010

Not a great start

Today was the first event of the PokerStars World Blogger Championship of Online Poker (WBCOOP). I lasted 15 minutes. Here's why:





Ugh. What else can be said?

12 comments:

Anonymous said...

Harsh... maybe a call there and no push to see another heart?

Rakewell said...

I don't think so. I don't think he flopped a set, because he didn't raise pre, so unlikely to have AA, and 77 and 88 both statistically unlikely since I have one of each, and he wouldn't have stuck around after flop if he had 4-4. So apparently he had piece of flop and then liked the 4 on the turn. A4 is certainly top candidate, but 7-4 and 8-4 also reasonable. 5-6 for straight draw getting there also possible. Turn might give him pair plus a draw (flush or straight), which he thinks is reason enough to check-raise in case I'm on air. In short, I think I'm ahead of enough of his range to justify the push. But I haven't given it a thorough analysis, so alternative arguments welcome.

Conan776 said...

imo

matt tag said...

no analysis needed, I don't think. Just a cooler. nh.

Conan776 said...

Is putting it in with the ninth nuts and getting snapped off by the eighth nuts a *cooler*? Not really, especially since Villain had Rakewell covered. Villain, using the same process of elimination, has to think 87 is Rakewell's most likely holding given his preflop limp, (also: holding A8 or A7 most players would bet a little less on the flop and go for value on the turn, not just stick it in -- still if a third ace is in play and both have Axs and caught 2p, that's more of a cooler, imo), and even versus 8h7h he knows he's got 75+% equity. Calling villains raise looks stronger and you can probably check it down when you miss the heart, or bluff the end, as a much better line.

The Blue Knave said...

Been thinking: there's never a *good* way to go out. It's a bad beat, a bad read, or bad luck: in short, it's bad.

Or, bad play... but we never think it's bad play considerable sober reflection.

(I like the instant replay feature, used it on my own bad end. http://bit.ly/8X56wQ )

Anonymous said...

With your stack size, maybe all-in after the flop would have chased him, thinking he was out-kickered or you flopped a set.

Rakewell said...

$1510 into a $105 pot? Seriously?

Rakewell said...

Knave, your biggest mistake in your last hand was not having 2-4. :-)

The Blue Knave said...

Rakewell. I know! Right? Crazy.

Grange95 said...

Grump, you can go broke from blinds and antes waiting for a monster hand like deuce-four. Sometimes you got to make a stand with whatever junk you can find, like KK.

Anonymous said...

It's the old saying "never go broke in a limped pot" that would make a raise to isolate the limper seem like a good idea. BB probably would've folded his A rag leaving you heads up, with position on the fish.